Analytics
Resolved Minnesota on 3 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Minnesota at 32.5%. The Michigan side opened at 50% on 22 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 74.5% on 24 Sep 2026 and the low 50% on 22 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 70% on 23 Sep 2026. $605.93K traded over the market's life.
122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 7:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Michigan price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 22 Sep 2026 – 3 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Michigan price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | 67.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir | Michigan | 10.87K |
| 999999666544332578855667788 | Michigan | 6K |
| Herdonia | Michigan | 4.52K |
| ForMyFamily1 | Michigan | 2.9K |
| digitalnomad85 | Michigan | 2.58K |
| cepefernando | Michigan | 2K |
| playerI | Michigan | 1.36K |
| attempt-most | Michigan | 999.99 |
| Mindzen | Michigan | 746 |
| Gambleon | Michigan | 700 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Minnesota, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-mich-minnst-2026-10-03
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