Analytics
Resolved Indiana on 20 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Indiana at 68.5%. The Miami side opened at 30% on 11 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 11 Jan 2026 to 20 Jan 2026, the highest close was 31.5% on 19 Jan 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 12 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 22.5% on 12 Jan 2026. $18.44K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 21, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Miami price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 11 Jan 2026 – 20 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Miami price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | 30.0% |
| 20 Jan 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frtftrr | Miami | 395.69 |
| Wretched-Bribery | Miami | 341.85 |
| Jade Falcon 490D | Miami | 291.26 |
| TENETENET | Miami | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the first half of the college football game between Miami and Indiana, scheduled for January 19 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami" if Miami are winning at halftime. This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana are winning at halftime. If the score is tied at halftime, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-mia-ind-2026-01-19
| Plaintive-Recording | Miami | 31.25 |
| triklozoid | Miami | 14.99 |
| zxcursed121 | Miami | 10.41 |
| RazrVIII | Miami | 2.94 |
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