
Resolved Oregon on 21 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Oregon at 92.5%. The James Madison side opened at 7.5% on 16 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2025 to 21 Dec 2025, the highest close was 8% on 20 Dec 2025 and the lowest 7% on 17 Dec 2025. $1.44M traded over the market's life.
93 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 8:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the James Madison price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 21 Dec 2025, chart shows 2%–14%
| Observed | James Madison price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 7.5% |
| 21 Dec 2025 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bossoskil | James Madison | 500K |
| primm | James Madison | 101.08K |
| comon119 | James Madison | 30K |
| akos7 | James Madison | 22.15K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 20 at 7:30PM ET: If the James Madison win, the market will resolve to "James Madison". If the Oregon win, the market will resolve to "Oregon". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-jmad-ore-2025-12-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| timmy-tubbles | James Madison | 5.44K |
| CiscoTrader | James Madison | 3K |
| Avarice31 | James Madison | 2.26K |
| NoFuturistic | James Madison | 2.1K |
| NebulaBite | James Madison | 1.95K |
| Stoyanoff | James Madison | 1.76K |