Analytics
Resolved Hawaii on 28 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Hawaii at 100%. The Hawaii side opened at 30% on 24 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 28 Sep 2025 and the low 30% on 24 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 69 points up, to 100% on 28 Sep 2025. $24.38K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 8:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Hawaii price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 24 Sep 2025 – 28 Sep 2025
| Observed | Hawaii price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2025 | 30.0% |
| 28 Sep 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jealous-Envy | Air Force | 416.67 |
| St-Qc | Air Force | 363 |
| Amgzing | Air Force | 177.12 |
| TimeTraveler | Air Force | 99.99 |
| supersportsbro | Air Force | 17.77 |
| Rixen1117 | Air Force | 2.9 |
| Present-Commitment | Air Force | 0.49 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for September 27 at 4:10PM ET: If the Hawaii win, the market will resolve to "Hawaii". If the Air Force win, the market will resolve to "Air Force". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-hawaii-airf-2025-09-27
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