Analytics
Resolved Fresno State on 21 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Fresno State at 56.5%. The Fresno State side opened at 58.5% on 16 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2025 to 21 Sep 2025, the highest close was 58.5% on 16 Sep 2025 and the lowest 54% on 19 Sep 2025. $184.08K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 4:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Fresno State price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Sep 2025 – 21 Sep 2025, chart shows 50%–62%
| Observed | Fresno State price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2025 | 58.5% |
| 21 Sep 2025 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Alert-Doubling | Hawai'I | 12.57K |
| GlobalizeTheHorchata | Hawai'I | 10.63K |
| St-Qc | Hawai'I | 410 |
| bojeorge | Hawai'I | 354.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for September 20 at 11:59PM ET: If the Fresno State win, the market will resolve to “Fresno State”. If the Hawai'i win, the market will resolve to “Hawai'i”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-frsno-haw-2025-09-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Posh-Hotel | Hawai'I | 222.22 |
| jasonkm1 | Hawai'I | 171.43 |
| Kooky-Med | Hawai'I | 85.14 |
| Z.S. | Hawai'I | 78.13 |
| ElectroEater | Hawai'I | 50 |
| Lilpump | Hawai'I | 22.38 |
