The question, the state of play, and how it settles
Facts updated 24d ago
“Spread: Murray State (-5.5)” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Eastern Illinois vs. Murray State”. The Yes price is the market's implied probability that the question resolves Yes. Quotes can change as orders are updated or filled; a quoted price does not guarantee an available fill at that price.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Aug 27, 2026 UTC. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Timeline
Event starts
Aug 25, 2026 UTC
Trading closed
Aug 27, 2026 UTC
Now
Live observation
Event startsAug 25, 2026 UTC
Source Evidence
Evidence coverage
Items
2
Fetched
2
Latest
23d ago
Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
24d ago
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
0.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
Wallets
Top 10 share
Yes / No shares
The provider top-holder sample is currently unavailable.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
0
Wallets
0
Loaded notional
$0
No recent public trade rows loaded.
Field guide
How to read this market
9 stops
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
01
Yes and No prices
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
Last observed
Yes 0.0¢ · No 100.0¢
02
Implied probability
Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Points
1
Latest close
33.5%
Last bucket
Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Top holdersLargest rows from the capped public top-holder endpoint; not venue-wide open interest.
Top-holder sample unavailable
The current provider holder request did not complete. No legacy holder rows are being substituted.
Event contextBest-effort grouped event lookup for this market.
What is the “Spread: Murray State (-5.5)” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Spread: Murray State (-5.5) It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Eastern Illinois vs. Murray State”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Aug 27, 2026 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 27 at 7:00PM ET: If Eastern Illinois wins, the market will resolve to "Eastern Illinois". If Murray State wins, the market will resolve to "Murray State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Trading closed
Aug 27, 2026 UTC
NowLive observation
Outcomes
Murray State
0.0¢ · 0.0%
Eastern Illinois
100.0¢ · 100.0%
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 27 at 7:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Murray State" if Murray State win the game by 6 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Eastern Illinois".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Points
1
Move
0.0 pts
Range
33.5% - 33.5%
Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC to Aug 28, 12:00 AM UTC
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ implies 21.5%, but fees, available depth and who participates can affect that price. A market price is not a calibrated forecast or a verdict.
Yes chance
0.0%
03
24h volume
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
04
Liquidity
Reported dollars resting in the order book. The available size on your side, at the prices you would accept, determines what can fill. A large total alone does not guarantee an execution near the quoted price.
05
Spread
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
06
Top holders and concentration
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
07
Trade tape
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
08
Price history
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
09
Close and resolution
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
Closes
Aug 27, 2026 UTC
cfb
games
uncategorized
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 27 at 7:00PM ET:
If Eastern Illinois wins, the market will resolve to "Eastern Illinois".
If Murray State wins, the market will resolve to "Murray State".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
EvidenceMarket-scoped source, creator, and related-market links.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 28, 2:28 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/cfb-eill-murst-2026-08-27) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
