Analytics
Resolved California on 31 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had California at 49.5%. The California side opened at 46% on 26 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2025 to 31 Aug 2025, the highest close was 49.5% on 31 Aug 2025 and the lowest 45.5% on 29 Aug 2025. $104.24K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 1, 8:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the California price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 26 Aug 2025 – 31 Aug 2025, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | California price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2025 | 46.0% |
| 31 Aug 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheRecluse | Oregon State | 3.69K |
| Chillinvillian | Oregon State | 1.04K |
| Captainmana | Oregon State | 317.94 |
| Querulous-Sunset | Oregon State |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for August 30 at 10:30PM ET: If the California win, the market will resolve to “California”. If the Oregon State win, the market will resolve to “Oregon State”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-cal-orst-2025-08-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 300 |
| GirthyOpponent | Oregon State | 273.39 |
| Present-Commitment | Oregon State | 181.46 |
| Irresponsible-Pop | Oregon State | 122 |
| PatD3 | Oregon State | 99.98 |
| cn.ua | Oregon State | 68.73 |
| Kooky-Med | Oregon State | 55.56 |
