Analytics
Trading ended on 24 Oct 2026 with the California side at 29.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close the California side was at 28.5%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 17.5% on 14 Oct 2026.
It is one of 233 markets under “California vs. SMU”.
$58.54K has traded since listing.
The largest California position is UpTheBlues with 20.8K shares; the largest SMU position is 0xheavy888 with 20K. Ten wallets hold 75.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 5:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the California price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | California price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 9.5% |
220 more markets, none above 96.0%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheBlues | California | 20.82K |
| 0xheavy888 | SMU | 20K |
| primm | California | 17.24K |
In the upcoming college football game between California and SMU, scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "California" if California win the game. This market will resolve to "SMU" if SMU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-cah-smu-2026-10-24
| Frightened-Subsidence |
| California |
| 5.99K |
| VeryLucky888 | SMU | 5.37K |
| 6512395314597884 | SMU | 4.64K |
| RN1 | SMU | 4.18K |
| 38791873984189 | SMU | 2.79K |
| torta.tech | SMU | 2.31K |
| cm2897 | California | 1.76K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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