Analytics
Resolved California on 9 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had California at 10%. The California side opened at 9.5% on 5 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 5 Nov 2025 to 9 Nov 2025, the highest close was 10.5% on 7 Nov 2025 and the lowest 9.5% on 5 Nov 2025. $220.26K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 10, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the California price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 5 Nov 2025 – 9 Nov 2025, chart shows 5%–15%
| Observed | California price |
|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | 9.5% |
| 9 Nov 2025 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DouYing | Louisville | 6.1K |
| Amgzing | Louisville | 3.44K |
| BorkLazar | Louisville | 999.99 |
| Surprised-Shoestring | Louisville | 976.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 8 at 7:00PM ET: If the California win, the market will resolve to "California". If the Louisville win, the market will resolve to "Louisville". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-cah-lou-2025-11-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Louisville | 921 |
| Solopp | Louisville | 863.8 |
| Etherewl | Louisville | 845.18 |
| mreddicopp | Louisville | 683.29 |
| Jolanda | Louisville | 595.43 |
| St-Qc | Louisville | 555 |
