Analytics
Resolved Hawaii on 25 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Hawaii at 51.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 23 Dec 2025 and the low 47% on 24 Dec 2025. $3.14M traded over the market's life.
225 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 26, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 23 Dec 2025 – 25 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 25 Dec 2025 | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| COMEONDUDE | California | 145K |
| DouYing | California | 32.64K |
| Frizzy-Schnitzel | California | 29.93K |
| bossjoe2 | California | 7.72K |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | California | 7.47K |
| Sweet-Ash | California | 6.12K |
| degensharp02 | California | 5.6K |
| tysonuw | California | 5K |
| lkfhd | California | 4.92K |
| simsimmma | California | 4K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for December 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the California win, the market will resolve to "California". If the Hawaii win, the market will resolve to "Hawaii". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-cah-hawaii-2025-12-24
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