Analytics
Resolved SMU Mustangs on 3 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had SMU Mustangs at 52%. The Arizona side opened at 50% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 3 Jan 2026, the highest close was 52% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 48% on 3 Jan 2026. $5.17K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Arizona price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 3 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–55%
| Observed | Arizona price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 48.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Frizzy-Schnitzel | Arizona | 683.36 |
| chobanilounge | Arizona | 600 |
| Poidl | Arizona | 500 |
| Jumbo-Flesh | Arizona | 5.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for January 2 at 8:00PM ET: If the Arizona win, the market will resolve to "Arizona". If the SMU Mustangs win, the market will resolve to "SMU Mustangs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-arz-smu-2026-01-02
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| soumama | Arizona | 5 |
