Analytics
Resolved Arkansas on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Arkansas at 33.5%. The Arkansas side opened at 24% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 36% on 9 Oct 2026 and the low 24% on 7 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 31% on 8 Oct 2026. $94.5K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 2:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Arkansas price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–40%
| Observed | Arkansas price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 24.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 33.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kkookkoo | Vanderbilt | 8.14K |
| SunflowaRebuildYear | Vanderbilt | 3.17K |
| gannonallison | Vanderbilt | 2.19K |
| PT-S3 | Vanderbilt | 997.23 |
| Jamesgambles2003 | Vanderbilt | 951.82 |
| Pleasant-Stamen-Barbeque | Vanderbilt | 735.46 |
| Keen Kestrel 1008 | Vanderbilt | 345.91 |
| TraderXI | Vanderbilt | 259.71 |
| degenm | Vanderbilt | 253.41 |
| Cosmic Signal 9D33 | Vanderbilt | 201.61 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Vanderbilt, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. This market will resolve to "Vanderbilt" if Vanderbilt win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-ark-vand-2026-10-17
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