Analytics
Resolved Texas on 23 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Texas at 99%. The Arkansas side opened at 22.5% on 18 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 18 Nov 2025 to 23 Nov 2025, the highest close was 25.5% on 21 Nov 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 23 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 1.1% on 23 Nov 2025. $209.46K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 24, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Arkansas price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 18 Nov 2025 – 23 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Arkansas price |
|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2025 | 22.5% |
| 23 Nov 2025 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thepunterwhopunts | Arkansas | 17.06K |
| knedloveprovelo | Arkansas | 14.2K |
| slight- | Arkansas | 9.37K |
| duderr | Arkansas | 2.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CFB game, scheduled for November 22 at 3:30PM ET: If the Arkansas win, the market will resolve to "Arkansas". If the Texas win, the market will resolve to "Texas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cfb-ark-tx-2025-11-22
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Stoyanoff | Arkansas | 1.73K |
| Slyvactus | Arkansas | 1.51K |
| sidekicks | Arkansas | 1.4K |
| St-Qc | Arkansas | 1.11K |
| hubbleslake | Arkansas | 1K |
| TheCatBurglar | Arkansas | 1K |
