Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 20% on 13 Dec 2023. Before it settled, the high was 61% on 23 Dec 2023 and the low 0.1% on 30 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 61% on 23 Dec 2023. $357.7K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 202 points, 13 Dec 2023 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2023 | 20.0% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AK8A | Yes | 2.31K |
| Cuyleriaha | Yes | 935.68 |
| Cubicle4671 | Yes | 155.94 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Ukraine and Russia both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Ukraine-Russia military conflict, must pertain to all theaters of military conflict between the two countries, and be declared through official channels by both countries. If only one country (e.g. only Ukraine, or only Russia) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Ukraine and the Russian Federation, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ceasefire-between-russia-and-ukraine-by-june
| kpo | Yes | 111.11 |
| n00bwhale | Yes | 71.43 |
| Sendscho | Yes | 38.46 |
| OJIEKCA | No | 20.53 |
| 8pkjgg | Yes | 18.18 |
| PreTor | Yes | 15.63 |
| dev0zzz | No | 11.62 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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