Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 11 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 9.5% on 16 Dec 2025. $15.38K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 12:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 11 Dec 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.79K |
| Kahlenberg | Yes | 626.38 |
| WhatTheHelly | Yes | 518.42 |
| BlindOrangutan | Yes | 301.24 |
| mateke | Yes | 200.1 |
| msp2222 | Yes | 150.28 |
| InfinitePain | Yes | 91.67 |
| Doom23 | Yes | 66.67 |
| Circular-Paramecium | Yes | 50 |
| Yeyoonsteroids | Yes | 36.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Wednesday, December 17, 2025 between CF Talavera and Real Madrid CF.
Resolution source: https://www.rfef.es/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cdr-tal-rma-2025-12-17
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