Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 8 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 8 Feb 2026 and the low 0.1% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 0.1% on 5 Mar 2026.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 1:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 8 Feb 2026 – 5 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | 49.5% |
| 5 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 1.13K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.04K |
| Aggressive-Overflight | Yes | 1K |
| wenwin | Yes | 666.27 |
| Cannae | Yes | 367.59 |
| Andone17 | Yes | 230.87 |
| LiquidatedDegen | Yes | 226.83 |
| kjsch | Yes | 158.73 |
| Pastel-Slide | Yes | 156.25 |
| Insubstantial-Notion | Yes | 143.15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 4, 2026 between Real Sociedad de Fútbol and Athletic Club.
Resolution source: https://www.rfef.es/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cdr-rso-ath-2026-03-04
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