Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 23 Nov 2025 and the low 10.5% on 4 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 12% on 3 Dec 2025. $6.88K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 6, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 21 points · 14 Nov 2025 – 4 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 49.5% |
| 4 Dec 2025 | 10.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spanish-Clasp | Yes | 1.54K |
| Charlie1991 | Yes | 382.54 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 153 |
| unknownwolf936 | Yes | 45.45 |
| nzone | Yes | 31.12 |
| una1emery | Yes | 28.57 |
| srysak | Yes | 5.95 |
| Present-Tender | Yes | 5.92 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Thursday, December 4, 2025 between Real Ávila CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
Resolution source: https://www.rfef.es/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cdr-rea-ray-2025-12-04
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