Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 27%. Yes opened at 50% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 4 Dec 2025, the highest close was 75% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 42.5% on 16 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 75% on 27 Nov 2025. $8.73K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 6, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 4 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 4 Dec 2025 | 73.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Welcome-Share | Yes | 1K |
| m3dv3duk | Yes | 257.28 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 153 |
| AndrianoLamo | Yes | 86.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Thursday, December 4, 2025 between Real Ávila CF and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
Resolution source: https://www.rfef.es/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cdr-rea-ray-2025-12-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| AlexGreGoR | Yes | 68.8 |
| Dannyzz | Yes | 45 |
| MartyMcFox | Yes | 35 |
| Somber-Papaya | Yes | 17.24 |
| una1emery | Yes | 10.2 |
| chuskhor666 | Yes | 6.67 |
