Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 11 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the low 21% on 17 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 21.5% on 17 Dec 2025. $13.5K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 20, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 11 Dec 2025 – 18 Dec 2025 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Pioneer FC9C | No | 2K |
| Kahlenberg | No | 865.98 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 551.86 |
| nzone | No | 250 |
| Unaware-Service | No | 8 |
| Ivory Signal D51A | No | 1.97 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for December 18, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.rfef.es/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cdr-our-ath-2025-12-18
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