Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48% on 11 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 12 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 20.5% on 16 Dec 2025. $6.94K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 20, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 11 Dec 2025 – 19 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 | 48.0% |
| 19 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 674.17 |
| msp2222 | Yes | 385.2 |
| Kahlenberg | Yes | 322.02 |
| Excited-Rent | Yes | 224.85 |
| Jose91 | Yes | 181.82 |
| Burdensome-Thigh | Yes | 100 |
| nzone | Yes | 100 |
| ChicoAtp | Yes | 100 |
| unknownwolf936 | Yes | 26.67 |
| Dopeboii13 | Yes | 25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Thursday, December 18, 2025 between Real Murcia CF and Real Betis Balompié.
Resolution source: https://www.rfef.es/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cdr-mur-bet-2025-12-18
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