
Resolved No on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 10 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 0.1% on 16 Jan 2026. $20.87K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 16 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 45.0% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stingy-Meridian | Yes | 2K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.69K |
| Cannae | Yes | 536.52 |
| ElInesperado | Yes | 401.61 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Thursday, January 15, 2026 between Burgos CF and Valencia CF.
Resolution source: https://www.rfef.es/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cdr-bur-val-2026-01-15
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