Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 15 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 11 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 0.1% on 15 Jan 2026. $11.7K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 15 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
| 15 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 297.42 |
| mario5null2null | Yes | 181.82 |
| nzone | Yes | 100.27 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | Yes | 93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Wednesday, January 14, 2026 between Deportivo Alavés and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
Resolution source: https://www.rfef.es/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cdr-ala-ray-2026-01-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| ababiluk | Yes | 68.97 |
| adamtomek | Yes | 60 |
| syn33 | Yes | 50 |
| LeviBoo | Yes | 41.67 |
| Reganzphantom | Yes | 34.48 |
| Guy777 | Yes | 32.21 |
