Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 51% on 12 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 51% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 2.1% on 16 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 2.1% on 16 Nov 2025. $34.34K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 1:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 12 Nov 2025 – 16 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 | 51.0% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 941 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 755 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 242 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 121 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 15, 2025 If AS Pirae wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.fff.fr/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cde-crn-pir-2025-11-15
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