Analytics
Resolved Michigan Wolverines on 3 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Michigan Wolverines at 95%. The USC Trojans side opened at 50.5% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 3 Jan 2026, the highest close was 51% on 29 Dec 2025 and the lowest 5% on 3 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 5.5% on 2 Jan 2026. $82.6K traded over the market's life.
63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the USC Trojans price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 3 Jan 2026
| Observed | USC Trojans price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 50.5% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 5.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Paula202246 | USC Trojans | 4.69K |
| Dutiful-Statement | USC Trojans | 4.5K |
| Improbable-Agony | USC Trojans | 3.45K |
| caydenali | USC Trojans | 922.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for January 2 at 7:00 PM ET: If the USC Trojans win, the market will resolve to "USC Trojans". If the Michigan Wolverines win, the market will resolve to "Michigan Wolverines". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cbb-usc-mich-2026-01-02
| Gulper | USC Trojans | 653.83 |
| Insignificant-Mercury | USC Trojans | 456.39 |
| Avarice31 | USC Trojans | 450.19 |
| Buildbackbettor | USC Trojans | 448.95 |
| 0x2E9821aF10fnztro1 | USC Trojans | 392.97 |
| Modest-Lily | USC Trojans | 392.16 |
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