Analytics
Resolved Vanderbilt Commodores on 4 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Vanderbilt Commodores at 85%. The SMU Mustangs side opened at 50% on 28 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 28 Nov 2025 and the low 15% on 4 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 19% on 3 Dec 2025. $25.53K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 5, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the SMU Mustangs price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Nov 2025 – 4 Dec 2025
| Observed | SMU Mustangs price |
|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 4 Dec 2025 | 15.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vacant-Unemployment | SMU Mustangs | 4.58K |
| LiquidatedDegen | SMU Mustangs | 1.4K |
| botbot | SMU Mustangs | 1K |
| gbarrett75 | SMU Mustangs | 300 |
| daemon93 | SMU Mustangs | 277.78 |
| PatD3 | SMU Mustangs | 100 |
| Grounded-Lyre | SMU Mustangs | 100 |
| oliman2 | SMU Mustangs | 100 |
| ltcm | SMU Mustangs | 55 |
| kaito99 | SMU Mustangs | 49.98 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for December 3 at 9:15 PM ET: If the SMU Mustangs win, the market will resolve to "SMU Mustangs". If the Vanderbilt Commodores win, the market will resolve to "Vanderbilt Commodores". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cbb-smu-vand-2025-12-03
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