Analytics
Resolved Illinois Fighting Illini on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Illinois Fighting Illini at 95.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2026 to 4 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50% on 27 Feb 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 9% on 2 Mar 2026. $14.71K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 4 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rakqpmcx | Oregon Ducks | 650 |
| MartySupreme123 | Oregon Ducks | 199.83 |
| BoomLaLa | Oregon Ducks | 132 |
| montty | Oregon Ducks | 109.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 3 at 9:00 PM ET: If the Oregon Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Oregon Ducks". If the Illinois Fighting Illini win, the market will resolve to "Illinois Fighting Illini". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cbb-ore-ill-2026-03-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Za-Za | Oregon Ducks | 95.89 |
| lillianxoxo | Oregon Ducks | 66.6 |
| DT9 | Oregon Ducks | 62.5 |
| dsosods | Oregon Ducks | 60 |
| kjigdcu | Oregon Ducks | 39.97 |
| tttdd | Oregon Ducks | 15.7 |
