Analytics
Resolved California Golden Bears on 3 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had California Golden Bears at 64.5%. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish side opened at 50% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 3 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 28 Dec 2025 and the lowest 35.5% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 35.5% on 2 Jan 2026. $96.46K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 3 Jan 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Notre Dame Fighting Irish price |
|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Functional-Witchhunt | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1.53K |
| Akaofbyskae | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 309.05 |
| Smallfalcons2000 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 290.88 |
| Real-Epauliere | Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for January 2 at 11:00 PM ET: If the Notre Dame Fighting Irish win, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame Fighting Irish". If the California Golden Bears win, the market will resolve to "California Golden Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cbb-nd-cah-2026-01-02
| 99.99 |
| ethany2 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 65 |
| Green-Monkey | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 38.14 |
| BlindOrangutan | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 35.5 |
| Giddy-Revolver | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 16.63 |
| cffd | California Golden Bears | 15.87 |
| ennow1 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 8.62 |
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