Analytics
Resolved Mercer Bears on 16 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mercer Bears at 79.5%. The Mercer Bears side opened at 51.5% on 10 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2026 to 16 Jan 2026, the highest close was 83% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 50% on 14 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 83% on 15 Jan 2026. $54K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mercer Bears price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Jan 2026 – 16 Jan 2026
| Observed | Mercer Bears price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | 79.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| c4c4 | VMI Keydets | 1.58K |
| wadell | VMI Keydets | 1.5K |
| p0d | VMI Keydets | 850.88 |
| CaciqxeQC | VMI Keydets | 576.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for January 15 at 6:00 PM ET: If the Mercer Bears win, the market will resolve to "Mercer Bears". If the VMI Keydets win, the market will resolve to "VMI Keydets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cbb-merc-vamil-2026-01-15
New to prediction markets?
| ArbitrageFund | VMI Keydets | 427 |
| b3arish | VMI Keydets | 263.16 |
| Emerald Pioneer C5D8 | VMI Keydets | 125 |
| TENETENET | VMI Keydets | 100 |
| tyne | VMI Keydets | 100 |
| ronnyssick | VMI Keydets | 74.99 |
