Analytics
Resolved Mercer Bears on 14 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Mercer Bears at 82.5%. The Mercer Bears side opened at 50.5% on 9 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 82.5% on 14 Feb 2026 and the low 48.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 63.5% on 11 Feb 2026. $57.63K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mercer Bears price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 9 Feb 2026 – 14 Feb 2026
| Observed | Mercer Bears price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 14 Feb 2026 | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| md022217 | The Citadel Bulldogs | 4.42K |
| ArbitrageFund | The Citadel Bulldogs | 2.03K |
| Avarice31 | The Citadel Bulldogs | 1.95K |
| TelegramTeleblog | The Citadel Bulldogs | 1.03K |
| MEV-PM | The Citadel Bulldogs | 954 |
| LynxTitan | The Citadel Bulldogs | 688.76 |
| Euphoric-Presume | The Citadel Bulldogs | 640 |
| aki-11 | The Citadel Bulldogs | 294.11 |
| Damonnn | The Citadel Bulldogs | 250.24 |
| BelieveInYou | The Citadel Bulldogs | 240 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for February 14 at 1:00 PM ET: If the Mercer Bears win, the market will resolve to "Mercer Bears". If the The Citadel Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to "The Citadel Bulldogs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cbb-merc-cita-2026-02-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
