Analytics
Resolved Arkansas on 21 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Arkansas at 52%. The Arkansas side opened at 35.5% on 18 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2025 to 21 Mar 2025, the highest close was 52% on 21 Mar 2025 and the lowest 34% on 20 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 52% on 21 Mar 2025. $453.36K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 3:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Arkansas price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 18 Mar 2025 – 21 Mar 2025, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Arkansas price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2025 | 35.5% |
| 21 Mar 2025 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Glitches | Kansas | 38.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 20 at 7:10PM ET: If the Arkansas win, the market will resolve to “Arkansas”. If the Kansas win, the market will resolve to “Kansas”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cbb-ark-ku-2025-03-20
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