Analytics
Resolved Duke on 28 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Duke at 82.5%. The Arizona side opened at 19.5% on 25 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 25 Mar 2025 to 28 Mar 2025, the highest close was 19.5% on 25 Mar 2025 and the lowest 17.5% on 28 Mar 2025. $904.24K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 7:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Arizona price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Mar 2025 – 28 Mar 2025, chart shows 12%–24%
| Observed | Arizona price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2025 | 19.5% |
| 28 Mar 2025 | 17.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HedgedAndLevered2 | Arizona | 5K |
| Goldballa23 | Arizona | 1.95K |
| St-Qc | Arizona | 1.41K |
| Brando22 | Arizona | 1.33K |
| Tdog2618 | Arizona | 635.62 |
| marktwaindaddy333 | Arizona | 186.1 |
| Usernombre | Arizona | 150 |
| KingWrong | Arizona | 100 |
| Evil-Tennis | Arizona | 55.56 |
| Flat-Semester | Arizona | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 27 at 9:39PM ET: If the Arizona win, the market will resolve to “Arizona”. If the Duke win, the market will resolve to “Duke”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cbb-ariz-duke-2025-03-27
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