Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 56.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 29 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 29 Jan 2026 and the low 5% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 44.5% on 21 Feb 2026. $364.79 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 29 Jan 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jan 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 43.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jianxinyouzai | Yes | 88 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 60 |
| t189 | Yes | 49.99 |
| paas2 | Yes | 30 |
| vger7 | Yes | 20 |
| hesure | Yes | 12 |
| mdgc | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Counter-Strike Case Index be above end of February?
Resolution source: https://dupe.fi/insights
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/case-above-in-february-2026
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