Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 21 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 16 Jan 2026 and the lowest 3% on 21 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4.5% on 19 Jan 2026. $1.33K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 21 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 49.5% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 258 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 222 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 117 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 117 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Case Index hit in the week of January 13 - January 20?
Resolution source: https://dupe.fi/insights
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/case-index-above-on-january-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 111 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 70 |
| 0xwon | Yes | 50 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
