Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 21 Jan 2026, the highest close was 98.4% on 21 Jan 2026 and the lowest 50% on 15 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 95.5% on 19 Jan 2026. $1.12K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 21 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 50.5% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 258 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 222 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 111 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Case Index hit in the week of January 13 - January 20?
Resolution source: https://dupe.fi/insights
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/case-index-above-on-january-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 70 |
| 0xwon | No | 66 |
| t189 | No | 50 |
| tiancs | No | 50 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 27 |
| vger7 | No | 25 |
