Analytics
Yes is at 19.5%, down 31 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 71 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 27.5%; a month before, 24%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 57% on 12 Oct 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Pro Football: Carnell Tate 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns”.
$176.86 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.04K since listing. The order book holds $492.88, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 83 trades, $219.4 bought Yes and $1.71K bought No; the largest was a $1.23K buy of No at 58.0¢.
The largest Yes position is JustADonk with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is HuntersMethDealer with 2.1K.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 92 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HuntersMethDealer | No | 2.12K |
| JustADonk | Yes | 1.11K |
| ndb1 | Yes | 332.01 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Carnell Tate records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 4.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Carnell Tate does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Carnell Tate recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/carnell-tate-receiving-touchdowns-2026-27
| justmeandme |
| Yes |
| 237.49 |
| gmfrom | Yes | 220 |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | No | 116.86 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 102.82 |
| 0x0820-3 | Yes | 100 |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 88 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 40.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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