Cap FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$6.3K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 27, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 65%. Yes opened at 15% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 27 Jun 2026, the highest close was 35% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 15% on 25 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 35% on 27 Jun 2026. $6.28K traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 8:38 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 27 Jun 2026, chart shows 10%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
25 Jun 2026	15.0%
27 Jun 2026	35.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
hopolopop	Yes	670.06
Clawbot42	Yes	228.4
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150
TENETENET	Yes	73.5

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cap's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cap (https://x.com/capmoney_) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".