Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 6% on 27 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 125 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2025 to 1 Jul 2025, the highest close was 33.9% on 21 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 33.9% on 21 Mar 2025. $21.6K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 27 Feb 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2025 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| maktouch | Yes | 1.65K |
| JakeSaimon | Yes | 963.99 |
| DErias | Yes | 146.93 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada formally exits the Five Eyes intelligence alliance by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal exit means an official announcement any member country stating that Canada is no longer a member of the Five Eyes alliance. An official announcement that Canada will leave the Five Eyes will qualify regardless of whether that exit to be made outside of this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source will be information from relevant governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canada-out-of-five-eyes-before-july
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 140.13 |
| Bolttrain | Yes | 111.48 |
| mk0 | Yes | 102.2 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 82 |
| Beardedf | Yes | 40 |
| CanadaBanana | Yes | 24.52 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 17.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
