Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 75.5% on 21 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2025 to 23 Mar 2025, the highest close was 96.2% on 22 Mar 2025 and the lowest 75.5% on 21 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 96.2% on 22 Mar 2025. $43.77K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 7:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Mar 2025 – 23 Mar 2025, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2025 | 75.5% |
| 23 Mar 2025 | 94.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jade Falcon CA7E | No | 500 |
| Keen Falcon 8695 | No | 410 |
| Bold Atlas 1E45 | No | 300 |
| yunfeiyang | No | 230 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 45th Canadian federal election is scheduled to take place on October 20, 2025, however federal elections have been called early numerous times in Canada's history, most recently in 2021. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled by March 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on March 21, an election is scheduled for April 23, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/canada-election-called-by-sunday
| Silver Oracle 6A58 | No | 90 |
| Idkanymore | No | 56.27 |
| Pocokomu | No | 10 |
| Naichli | Yes | 0.02 |
| cassss | No | 0.01 |
| JDULIA | Yes | 0.01 |
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