Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 65% on 16 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 321 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2025 to 2 Dec 2025, the highest close was 100% on 2 Dec 2025 and the lowest 33.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 51.1% on 10 Mar 2025. $7.36K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 3, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 321 points, 16 Jan 2025 – 2 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2025 | 65.0% |
| 2 Dec 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.13K |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 190 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 150 |
Michael Thomas Lewis, accused of stalking WNBA rookie Caitlin Clark, behaved erratically in his recent court appearance, shouting "guilty as charged" in court. You can read more about that here: https://www.latimes.com/sports/story/2025-01-14/caitlin-clark-stalker-charged-michael-thomas-lewis This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Thomas Lewis pleads guilty to felony stalking before a verdict is rendered in his ongoing case. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Lewis's ongoing trial is dismissed, ends due to a plea agreement that does not require a guilty plea, or results in a mistrial without Lewis pleading guilty, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Lewis does not plead guilty in this case by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise no verdict is rendered by that date, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information provided by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/caitlin-clark-stalker-pleads-guilty
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 142 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 129 |
| nobodyfastnobodyslow | No | 117.65 |
| Lunar Beacon 4BB9 | No | 100 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 65 |
| low.iq.games | No | 27.36 |
| blacksalami | No | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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