Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 12 Oct 2025, the highest close was 53% on 10 Oct 2025 and the lowest 26.5% on 11 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 26.5% on 11 Oct 2025. $3.09K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 12 Oct 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 48.5% |
| 12 Oct 2025 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| monkeymonkey69 | Yes | 1.1K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 288 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 202 |
| babooaoa | Yes | 164.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Africa World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Sunday, October 12, 2025 between Zambia and Niger.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/caf-zam-nig-2025-10-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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