Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 60.5%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2025 to 5 Sep 2025, the price held at 39.5%. $12.48K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 4 Sep 2025 – 5 Sep 2025, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2025 | 39.5% |
| 5 Sep 2025 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 3.36K |
| Rigid-Burrow | Yes | 2.58K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 1.5K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 243 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 200 |
| ArtKir | Yes | 27.78 |
| Kimmm | Yes | 22.22 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 20 |
| hventures | Yes | 11.9 |
| SOLOFUTURETRAVELER | Yes | 2.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Africa World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Friday, September 5, 2025 between Namibia and Malawi.
Resolution source: https://fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/caf-nam-mal-2025-09-05
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