
Resolved No on 13 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 13 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 10 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9% on 11 Oct 2025. $5.1K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 13 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 48.5% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 357.01 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 209 |
| MayForceBeWithYou | Yes | 196.43 |
| Hegemony66 | Yes | 177.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Africa World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Sunday, October 12, 2025 between Burkina Faso and Ethiopia.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/caf-bur-eth-2025-10-12
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