Analytics
Resolved Min on 14 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Min at 99%. The Min side opened at 66.5% on 31 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 31 Oct 2024 to 14 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.3% on 13 Nov 2024 and the lowest 42.5% on 7 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 79% on 9 Nov 2024. $14.2K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 15, 2:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Min price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 31 Oct 2024 – 14 Nov 2024
| Observed | Min price |
|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2024 | 66.5% |
| 14 Nov 2024 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bold Kestrel 6D1D | Baugh | 50 |
| anikangel2003 | Min | 9.8 |
| bilibilibili | Baugh | 3.08 |
| jora55 | Min | 0.15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to "Min" if Democrat Dave Min wins the congressional election in California's 47th district. This market will resolve to "Baugh" if Republican Scott Baugh wins the congressional election in California's 47th district. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ca-47-election-min-d-vs-baugh-r
| vist | Min | 0.14 |
| diro | Min | 0.14 |
| yyypo | Min | 0.14 |
| Strong-Breath | Baugh | 0.14 |
| haris-949 | Min | 0.13 |
| titya-924 | Min | 0.12 |
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