Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59.5%. Yes opened at 39% on 9 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 40.5% on 20 Mar 2026 and the low 36% on 12 Mar 2026.
83 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 8:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 9 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 32%–44%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Mar 2026 | 39.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| c4c4 | Yes | 19.79K |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 6.37K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 2.3K |
| Kretsche | Yes | 750 |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 682.36 |
| LangDD | Yes | 627.5 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 598.44 |
| afa001 | Yes | 450 |
| Carloshen100 | Yes | 367.5 |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 334.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between VfL Wolfsburg and SV Werder Bremen.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-wol-wer-2026-03-21
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