
Resolved No on 31 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73%. Yes opened at 64.5% on 19 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 64.5% on 19 Aug 2025 and the low 27% on 30 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 32.5% on 20 Aug 2025. $7.67K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 12:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 19 Aug 2025 – 31 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2025 | 64.5% |
| 31 Aug 2025 | 27.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| zpzpxmxm | Yes | 955.51 |
| WBNiklas | Yes | 349.99 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 200 |
| Nick898 | Yes | 68.97 |
| vLd | Yes | 68.97 |
| CNInsider | Yes | 27.97 |
| derM | Yes | 17.24 |
| Germanbrain | Yes | 17.24 |
| Mnsrfx | Yes | 13.79 |
| Ali22 | Yes | 12.43 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming BUN game, scheduled for August 31 at 9:30AM ET between VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-wol-mai-2025-08-31
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