Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59.5%. Yes opened at 41% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 41% on 23 Feb 2026 and the low 39% on 25 Feb 2026.
97 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 5:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 23 Feb 2026 – 7 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 35%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 41.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | 40.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dustybeermat | Yes | 7.65K |
| Xero100i | Yes | 3K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 2.73K |
| DePunisher | Yes | 1.55K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.39K |
| xdcgt | Yes | 1.07K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 1.06K |
| fdgfdgfdZa | Yes | 1.05K |
| dhfgvb | Yes | 1.02K |
| jfgcfh | Yes | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, March 7, 2026 between VfL Wolfsburg and Hamburger SV.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-wol-hsv-2026-03-07
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