Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 27% on 4 Mar 2026 and the low 25.5% on 8 Mar 2026. $57.86K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 6:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 11 points · 3 Mar 2026 – 14 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–32%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 26.5% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 1xx2 | Yes | 16.21K |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 5.21K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.53K |
| cris1234552 | Yes | 3.07K |
| Adept-Oleo | Yes | 1.3K |
| alvinhc2 | Yes | 500 |
| CorellianCoder | Yes | 200 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | Yes | 157.76 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 150 |
| riccopong | Yes | 136 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 15, 2026 between SV Werder Bremen and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-wer-mai-2026-03-15
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