Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 58.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 8 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 44% on 26 Feb 2026 and the lowest 41% on 2 Mar 2026.
152 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 8:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 36%–48%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 43.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SemyonMarmeladov | Yes | 100K |
| Outlying-Ticket | Yes | 36.85K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 31.91K |
| Cannae | Yes | 28.45K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, March 8, 2026 between 1. FC Union Berlin and SV Werder Bremen.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-uni-wer-2026-03-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 432614799197 | Yes | 19.72K |
| TriS1 | Yes | 12K |
| rox119 | Yes | 9K |
| GGBIG888 | Yes | 8.58K |
| Oddball-Portfolio | Yes | 5K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 3.82K |
