Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 24 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 24 Mar 2026 to 4 Apr 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 24 Mar 2026 and the lowest 45% on 27 Mar 2026. $1.11M traded over the market's life.
225 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 6, 5:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 24 Mar 2026 – 4 Apr 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Mar 2026 | 45.5% |
| 4 Apr 2026 | 45.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frankfrankfrank | Yes | 152K |
| NoLyon | Yes | 74.34K |
| ic4cream | Yes | 61.89K |
| Cannae | Yes | 49.93K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, April 5, 2026 between 1. FC Union Berlin and FC St. Pauli 1910.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-uni-pau-2026-04-05
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| CemeterySun | Yes | 26.67K |
| zhangwen1688 | Yes | 19.24K |
| qinlaoban | Yes | 10.68K |
| ff3354 | Yes | 10.64K |
| qwwee22 | Yes | 7.89K |
| ddys24 | Yes | 7.06K |
