Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 35.5%. Yes opened at 38% on 4 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 4 May 2026 to 16 May 2026, the highest close was 43% on 5 May 2026 and the lowest 35.5% on 12 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 36% on 9 May 2026. $123.13K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 5:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 4 May 2026 – 16 May 2026, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 May 2026 | 38.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 35.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RN1 | No | 9.35K |
| eanvanezygv | No | 1.29K |
| notJaneStreet | No | 864.98 |
| laowu0088 | No | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, May 16, 2026 between 1. FC Union Berlin and FC Augsburg.
Resolution source: https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bun-uni-aug-2026-05-16
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| laowang666889 | No | 400 |
| CavaSoTasty | No | 340.65 |
| CajetanCryptoTrading-Hour4 | No | 145.01 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 127.71 |
| piepi | No | 121.81 |
| Lunar Summit 674E | No | 119.87 |
